Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00236921           1          29          57          11           2        C2.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00103862           3          19          55          18           5        C2.8
GOES Xray  =   6.89994e-07           1           0          57          36           6        C8.6
est. ISN   =            77           1           9          59          28           3        C4.9
 
together                             1.50       14.25       57.00       23.25        4.00     C4.2
 
realized                                                                                      M1.6