Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00242017           2          15          62          17           4        C2.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00112749           3           4          66          19           8        C5.0
GOES Xray  =   1.11191e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            95           1           0          70          24           5        C5.6
 
together                             1.75        4.75       55.75       29.75        8.00     C6.7
 
realized                                                                                      M2.1