Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00239258           3          14          60          21           2        C3.9
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00109200           2          14          63          15           6        C3.3
GOES Xray  =   8.44979e-07           1           0          52          38           9        C8.6
est. ISN   =            80           1           3          65          27           4        C5.6
 
together                             1.50        7.75       60.25       25.25        5.25     C4.9
 
realized                                                                                      C9.0