Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00237460           2          26          60          10           2        C2.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00105287           3          14          58          20           5        C4.2
GOES Xray  =   7.23746e-07           1           0          55          34          10        C8.6
est. ISN   =            79           1           4          65          26           4        C5.0
 
together                             1.75       11.00       59.50       22.50        5.25     C4.5
 
realized                                                                                      C7.0