Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00236574           1          32          56           9           2        C1.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00103304           3          20          51          22           4        C2.7
GOES Xray  =   6.51194e-07           1           0          62          31           6        C8.3
est. ISN   =            62           5          14          59          20           2        C3.5
 
together                             2.50       16.50       57.00       20.50        3.50     C3.8
 
realized                                                                                      C3.4