Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00242775           2          14          63          18           3        C3.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00111530           3           8          64          16           9        C3.6
GOES Xray  =   1.21567e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            82           2           1          58          33           6        C7.2
 
together                             2.00        5.75       52.50       31.50        8.25     C6.8
 
realized                                                                                      M1.9