Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00241183           3          13          66          16           2        C2.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00108082           3          12          65          18           2        C3.7
GOES Xray  =   1.19645e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            74           1           8          55          33           3        C6.6
 
together                             2.00        8.25       52.75       31.50        5.50     C5.5
 
realized                                                                                      M3.0