Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00238728           5          18          57          17           3        C3.2
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00105295           3          14          58          20           5        C4.2
GOES Xray  =   9.10749e-07           1           0          46          46           7        M1.0
est. ISN   =            87           1           0          66          28           5        C6.0
 
together                             2.25        8.00       57.00       27.75        5.00     C5.5
 
realized                                                                                      M1.8