Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00238320           5          21          57          15           2        C2.8
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00106136           2          15          61          19           3        C3.2
GOES Xray  =   7.51989e-07           1           0          50          41           8        C9.9
est. ISN   =            87           1           0          66          28           5        C6.0
 
together                             2.00        9.00       58.75       25.75        4.50     C4.7
 
realized                                                                                      M1.0