Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00239516           3          13          60          22           2        C3.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00107857           2          12          66          17           3        C3.8
GOES Xray  =   8.54251e-07           1           0          51          40           8        C9.0
est. ISN   =            94           1           0          69          25           5        C6.1
 
together                             1.50        6.25       61.75       26.00        4.50     C4.9
 
realized                                                                                      C6.5