Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00241744           2          14          63          17           4        C2.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00113095           3           4          70          18           5        C5.0
GOES Xray  =   1.01788e-06           1           0          30          59          10        M1.4
est. ISN   =            94           1           0          69          25           5        C6.1
 
together                             1.75        4.50       58.00       29.75        6.00     C6.6
 
realized                                                                                      M1.4