Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00245280           4          16          50          23           7        C4.0
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00117796           2           5          63          27           3        C4.7
GOES Xray  =   1.46672e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            94           1           0          69          25           5        C6.1
 
together                             2.00        5.25       51.75       33.50        7.50     C7.3
 
realized                                                                                      M4.2