Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00244461           4          13          56          22           5        C3.6
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00116245           3           1          73          22           1        C4.2
GOES Xray  =   1.27438e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            82           2           1          58          33           6        C7.2
 
together                             2.50        3.75       53.00       34.00        6.75     C7.5
 
realized                                                                                      C4.1