Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00241370           3          15          65          15           2        C2.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00112547           3           5          65          19           8        C4.2
GOES Xray  =   9.37076e-07           1           0          45          45           9        M1.1
est. ISN   =           104           1           1          65          29           4        C6.3
 
together                             2.00        5.25       60.00       27.00        5.75     C5.5
 
realized                                                                                      C7.3