Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00239650           2          12          62          22           2        C3.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00110372           2          12          64          15           7        C3.3
GOES Xray  =   7.80366e-07           1           0          53          39           7        C8.6
est. ISN   =            86           1           0          61          32           6        C7.0
 
together                             1.25        6.00       60.25       27.00        5.50     C4.7
 
realized                                                                                      C5.7