Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00242365           1          13          63          19           4        C3.2
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00114022           2           3          71          21           3        C5.0
GOES Xray  =   9.83886e-07           1           0          35          55           9        M1.2
est. ISN   =            52           1          18          65          15           1        C2.1
 
together                             1.25        8.50       58.50       27.50        4.25     C4.8
 
realized                                                                                      C6.3