Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00245223           4          15          50          24           7        C4.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00118721           1           6          62          28           3        C4.9
GOES Xray  =   1.27254e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            95           1           0          70          24           5        C5.6
 
together                             1.75        5.25       51.75       33.75        7.50     C7.3
 
realized                                                                                      M2.5