Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00244517           4          14          54          23           5        C3.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00118016           2           5          62          28           3        C4.7
GOES Xray  =   1.31270e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =           138           1           0          51          41           7        C9.2
 
together                             1.75        4.75       48.25       37.75        7.50     C8.5
 
realized                                                                                      M4.8