Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00242019           2          15          62          17           4        C2.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00113973           2           3          71          21           3        C5.0
GOES Xray  =   1.03147e-06           1           0          30          59          10        M1.4
est. ISN   =           134           1           0          51          41           7        C9.2
 
together                             1.25        4.50       53.75       34.50        6.00     C7.8
 
realized                                                                                      C4.6