Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00239682           2          13          62          21           2        C3.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00109891           2          13          65          13           7        C3.1
GOES Xray  =   8.74988e-07           1           0          51          42           6        C9.0
est. ISN   =            94           1           0          69          25           5        C6.1
 
together                             1.25        6.50       62.00       25.25        5.00     C4.9
 
realized                                                                                      M1.2