Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00245013           4          13          52          24           7        C4.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00116935           3           1          68          26           2        C4.6
GOES Xray  =   1.46959e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            89           1           0          75          20           4        C4.6
 
together                             2.25        3.50       55.00       32.25        7.00     C6.8
 
realized                                                                                      X1.0