Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00246127           2          15          53          23           7        C5.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00120292           1           4          62          29           4        C4.8
GOES Xray  =   1.42084e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            99           1           1          67          26           5        C6.1
 
together                             1.00        5.25       51.75       34.25        7.75     C7.7
 
realized                                                                                      M3.8