Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00243150           2          17          58          20           3        C2.8
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00116265           3           1          72          23           1        C4.2
GOES Xray  =   1.11972e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =           102           1           1          66          27           5        C6.0
 
together                             1.75        4.75       55.25       32.25        6.00     C6.7
 
realized                                                                                      C9.7