Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00242269           1          13          62          20           4        C3.2
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00114352           3           3          72          19           3        C5.0
GOES Xray  =   9.96951e-07           1           0          32          57          10        M1.3
est. ISN   =            84           1           1          59          34           5        C6.8
 
together                             1.50        4.25       56.25       32.50        5.50     C7.0
 
realized                                                                                      C2.1