Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00243810           3          13          55          24           5        C3.6
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00116429           3           1          72          23           1        C4.2
GOES Xray  =   1.13011e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =           109           1           0          59          33           7        C8.2
 
together                             1.75        3.50       53.00       34.75        7.00     C8.3
 
realized                                                                                      M1.8