Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00247406           2           9          61          24           4        C4.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00120866           1           4          63          28           4        C4.8
GOES Xray  =   1.69549e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            75           1          10          50          35           4        C7.0
 
together                             1.00        6.00       49.75       36.50        6.75     C7.7
 
realized                                                                                      X1.6