Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00240160           2          14          63          20           1        C3.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00110539           3          10          65          14           8        C3.3
GOES Xray  =   8.08245e-07           1           0          53          37           9        C8.6
est. ISN   =            70           1           3          68          26           2        C4.3
 
together                             1.25        7.00       62.50       24.25        5.00     C4.7
 
realized                                                                                      C8.9