Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00238137           5          24          56          13           2        C2.6
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00106417           2          14          63          18           3        C3.2
GOES Xray  =   6.51174e-07           1           0          62          31           6        C8.3
est. ISN   =            76           1           9          59          28           3        C4.9
 
together                             2.25       11.75       60.00       22.50        3.50     C4.4
 
realized                                                                                      C3.7