Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00239194           3          15          58          22           2        C3.9
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00108021           2          12          66          18           2        C3.8
GOES Xray  =   8.18300e-07           1           0          52          38           9        C9.0
est. ISN   =            67           1           7          68          23           1        C3.9
 
together                             1.50        8.50       61.25       25.25        3.50     C4.6
 
realized                                                                                      C5.7