Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00239392           3          13          59          23           2        C3.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00108550           3          14          65          16           2        C2.9
GOES Xray  =   7.91166e-07           1           0          53          39           7        C8.6
est. ISN   =            71           1           3          60          32           4        C5.4
 
together                             1.50        7.75       59.50       27.50        3.75     C4.6
 
realized                                                                                      M1.1