Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00237336           2          25          60          11           2        C2.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00105328           3          15          57          20           5        C4.2
GOES Xray  =   6.27370e-07           1           0          65          31           3        C6.8
est. ISN   =            53           1          17          63          18           1        C2.5
 
together                             1.50       14.25       61.50       20.00        2.75     C3.6
 
realized                                                                                      C4.1