Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00236204           4          31          55           9           1        C1.8
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00102611           3          16          55          22           4        C3.0
GOES Xray  =   5.67424e-07           1           0          69          26           4        C5.3
est. ISN   =            52           1          18          65          15           1        C2.1
 
together                             2.00       16.25       61.25       18.00        2.50     C2.9
 
realized                                                                                      C3.9