Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235832           4          33          51          11           1        C1.8
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00101846           2          18          57          21           2        C2.3
GOES Xray  =   5.54917e-07           1           0          71          24           4        C5.6
est. ISN   =            55           2          22          61          14           1        C2.5
 
together                             2.00       18.25       60.25       17.50        2.00     C2.8
 
realized                                                                                      C2.4