Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235725           4          36          49          10           1        C1.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00100820           1          17          55          24           3        C3.1
GOES Xray  =   5.82794e-07           1           0          68          28           3        C6.6
est. ISN   =            53           1          17          63          18           1        C2.5
 
together                             1.50       17.50       59.00       20.00        2.00     C3.1
 
realized                                                                                      M3.3