Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00236880           1          29          58          10           2        C2.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00102281           3          16          56          22           3        C2.7
GOES Xray  =   6.51131e-07           1           0          62          31           6        C8.3
est. ISN   =            56           2          19          62          16           1        C2.7
 
together                             1.75       16.00       59.50       19.75        3.00     C3.5
 
realized                                                                                      M6.0