Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00237747           4          27          55          12           2        C2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00104589           3          17          58          18           4        C2.8
GOES Xray  =   7.33651e-07           1           0          50          40           9        C9.9
est. ISN   =            73           1           6          54          35           4        C7.0
 
together                             2.25       12.50       54.25       26.25        4.75     C4.6
 
realized                                                                                      M2.0