Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00240639           3          13          65          17           2        C3.2
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00109369           2          14          64          14           6        C3.1
GOES Xray  =   9.36232e-07           1           0          45          45           9        M1.1
est. ISN   =            75           1          10          50          35           4        C7.0
 
together                             1.75        9.25       56.00       27.75        5.25     C4.7
 
realized                                                                                      C4.2