Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00240984           3          13          67          15           2        C2.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00110478           3          10          65          14           8        C3.3
GOES Xray  =   9.35180e-07           1           0          46          44           9        M1.1
est. ISN   =            86           1           0          61          32           6        C7.0
 
together                             2.00        5.75       59.75       26.25        6.25     C4.9
 
realized                                                                                      C8.4