Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00243911           3          14          53          26           4        C3.6
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00114179           3           3          72          19           3        C5.0
GOES Xray  =   1.24979e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =           126           1           0          51          41           7        C9.2
 
together                             1.75        4.25       50.50       36.25        7.25     C8.4
 
realized                                                                                      M1.3