Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00241131           3          13          66          16           2        C2.6
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00109378           2          14          64          14           6        C3.1
GOES Xray  =   9.89058e-07           1           0          35          55           9        M1.3
est. ISN   =            98           1           1          68          25           5        C5.9
 
together                             1.75        7.00       58.25       27.50        5.50     C5.0
 
realized                                                                                      M2.5