Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00237866           5          26          54          13           2        C2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00104012           3          19          53          20           5        C2.9
GOES Xray  =   7.70894e-07           1           0          50          42           7        C9.9
est. ISN   =            86           1           0          61          32           6        C7.0
 
together                             2.25       11.25       54.75       26.75        5.00     C4.6
 
realized                                                                                      M2.5