Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00240579           3          13          63          18           3        C2.8
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00108119           3          12          65          18           2        C3.7
GOES Xray  =   9.97027e-07           1           0          32          57          10        M1.3
est. ISN   =            75           1          10          50          35           4        C7.0
 
together                             2.00        8.75       52.50       32.00        4.75     C5.4
 
realized                                                                                      M1.7