Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00240862           3          13          68          14           2        C2.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00110204           2          13          63          15           7        C3.3
GOES Xray  =   9.29103e-07           1           0          46          44           9        M1.1
est. ISN   =            74           1           8          55          33           3        C6.6
 
together                             1.75        8.50       58.00       26.50        5.25     C4.9
 
realized                                                                                      C4.9