Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00239883           1          13          62          22           2        C3.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00107853           2          12          66          17           3        C3.8
GOES Xray  =   8.32027e-07           1           0          54          37           8        C8.3
est. ISN   =           108           1           0          59          33           7        C8.2
 
together                             0.75        6.50       60.50       27.25        5.00     C5.2
 
realized                                                                                      M8.2