Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00240182           2          14          63          20           1        C3.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00108299           3          13          64          18           2        C3.3
GOES Xray  =   9.68784e-07           1           0          35          53          11        M1.2
est. ISN   =           120           1           0          51          41           7        C9.2
 
together                             1.50        6.75       53.50       33.00        5.25     C6.3
 
realized                                                                                      M8.7