Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00240559           3          13          63          18           3        C2.8
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00109179           2          14          63          15           6        C3.3
GOES Xray  =   9.48443e-07           1           0          43          47           9        M1.1
est. ISN   =            73           1           6          54          35           4        C7.0
 
together                             1.75        8.25       55.75       28.75        5.50     C5.0
 
realized                                                                                      M1.2