Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00238937           5          17          56          20           2        C3.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00106740           2          13          63          19           3        C3.7
GOES Xray  =   7.83134e-07           1           0          53          39           7        C8.6
est. ISN   =            87           1           0          66          28           5        C6.0
 
together                             1.75        7.50       60.00       26.50        4.25     C4.7
 
realized                                                                                      C3.5