Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00239089           4          16          57          21           2        C3.6
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00107363           2          13          65          17           3        C3.7
GOES Xray  =   8.00305e-07           1           0          52          39           8        C9.0
est. ISN   =           105           1           1          65          26           7        C6.4
 
together                             1.75        7.50       60.00       25.75        5.00     C5.0
 
realized                                                                                      C4.7