Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00239843           1          13          62          22           2        C3.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00109398           2          14          64          14           6        C3.1
GOES Xray  =   8.53922e-07           1           0          51          40           8        C9.0
est. ISN   =            77           1           9          59          28           3        C4.9
 
together                             1.00        9.00       59.25       26.00        4.75     C4.7
 
realized                                                                                      M1.7