Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00239801           1          12          63          22           2        C3.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00109969           2          13          64          14           7        C3.1
GOES Xray  =   8.47415e-07           1           0          51          40           8        C9.0
est. ISN   =            90           1           0          74          20           5        C4.7
 
together                             1.00        6.25       63.25       24.00        5.50     C4.7
 
realized                                                                                      C6.6